Research & Publications

My research sits at the intersection of development, agricultural and environmental economics and data science. Full list on Google Scholar ↗

In Preparation

2026

Fiankor, D.-D. D., Idowu, A., & Dalheimer, B.

Trade Policy and the Resilience of European Land Systems.

Manuscript in preparation.

Trade PolicyLand SystemsEurope

Forthcoming / Under Review

2025

Idowu, A. & Adonteng, O. K.

Are Carbon Leakages Traceable to EU Environmental Policy Stringency? Empirical Evidence from Selected EU Countries and Their External Trading Partners.

International Economics and Economic Policy (forthcoming).

Carbon LeakageEU PolicyTradePanel Data
2025

Chowdhury, M. A., Idowu, A., Ajayi, F., & Rahmawati, Y.

Economic Complexity and Its Role in Shaping Renewable Energy Consumption Patterns in South Asia.

Working paper, SSRN 5240104. Under review at Asia and the Global Economy.

Renewable EnergySouth AsiaEconomic Complexity
SSRN Preprint ↗
2026

Idowu, A.

The Price of Fear: Uncertainty, Trade, and Economic Welfare in International Commodity Markets during the Black Sea Grain Initiative.

Under peer review at Review of World Economics.

Commodity MarketsTrade UncertaintyEconomic WelfareBlack Sea Grain Initiative
2026

Idowu, A.

Learning the Propagation of Policy Shocks in Global Food Trade: A Graph Neural Network Disciplined by Spatial Equilibrium.

Under peer review at International Economics and Economic Policy.

Food TradeGraph Neural NetworksPolicy ShocksSpatial Equilibrium
2026

Idowu, A.

Digital Markets and Farmer Welfare: How Electronic Integration Reshapes India's Agricultural Market Economy.

Under peer review at Agricultural and Food Economics.

Digital MarketsFarmer WelfareIndiaMarket Integration
2026

Idowu, A.

Moving Targets: Regulatory Uncertainty and Agri-Food Trade. A Structural Gravity Model of EU Pesticide Maximum Residue Limits.

Under peer review at Agricultural and Food Economics.

Regulatory UncertaintyAgri-Food TradeStructural GravityEU Pesticide MRLs

Published

2024

Idowu, A., Chowdhury, M. A., Rahman, H., & Bello, M. E.

Exploring the Dynamics of Economic Instability: An Analysis of the Interplay between Consumer Spending, Consumer Confidence, and Macroeconomic Factors.

International Journal of Economics, 3(1), 10–25.

MacroeconomicsConsumer BehaviourEconomic Instability
2023

Idowu, A., Ohikhuare, M., & Chowdhury, M. A.

Does Industrialization Trigger Carbon Emissions Through Energy Consumption? Evidence from OPEC and High Industrialized Countries.

Quantitative Finance and Economics, 7(1), 165–186.

Carbon EmissionsEnergyOPECIndustrialisation
DOI ↗
2021

Idowu, A. & Collins, T.

Modelling Disaggregated Government Expenditure and Manufacturing Sector Performance and their Influence on Economic Performance.

Journal of Applied Economic Research, 4(3), 10–22.

Fiscal PolicyManufacturingGovernment Expenditure
2021

Idowu, A.

Econometric Modelling and Forecasting Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Nigeria: ARIMA Model Approach.

Economic Forecasting, 2(3), 20–35.

FDINigeriaTime SeriesARIMA

Interested in collaboration or preprint requests? Email me